The setup
Cardano (ADA) trades at $0.1904, -2.90% on the day, with an overall signal of 13/100 — strongly bearish. The 1H structure is slipping (-2.8%), the 4H is lower lows / downtrend, and the 7-day read is lower lows / downtrend. When the hourly and four-hour timeframes disagree, the higher timeframe usually wins; here they conflict, and that tension is the trade.
The indicator confluence
RSI sits at 31.6 (bearish), the MACD histogram is negative at -0.0004, and ADX reads 82.3 — a trending regime. EMA-12 is below EMA-26, and Bollinger width is 4.8% (normal). Relative volume is 0.64x the baseline (normal). Read together, these lean bearish.
Cross-asset read
Against bitcoin, ADA runs a beta of 0.90 and a 7-day relative strength of -3.5%. It is lagging — BTC is setting the pace and this asset is not keeping up. Among the focus set, BTC (22/100, -1.43%), ZEC (15/100, -2.97%), CC (13/100, -5.50%) round out the context.
What confirms it and what kills it
The setup is a momentum / breakdown with an entry zone of $0.1913 – $0.1898, targeting $0.1869 then $0.1834. The level that invalidates the read is $0.1964 — a close above that level means the structure has rolled over. Risk/reward reads 1:1.2 at high confidence. Research only — not financial advice.
Signal Dashboard
| Asset | Price | 24h | RSI | MACD | Trend (EMA) | ADX | ATR | BB width | Rel Vol | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | $0.1904 | -2.90% | 31.6 | -0.0004 | EMA12<EMA26 | 82.3 | 0.00 | 4.8% | 0.64x | 13/100 |
| BTC | $64,110.29 | -1.43% | 34.4 | -12.4360 | EMA12<EMA26 | 83.0 | 436.37 | 3.1% | 0.53x | 22/100 |
| ZEC | $493.15 | -2.97% | 32.9 | -0.4320 | EMA12<EMA26 | 93.9 | 7.02 | 4.5% | 0.63x | 15/100 |
| CC | $0.0951 | -5.50% | 40.6 | -0.0001 | EMA12<EMA26 | 53.2 | 0.00 | 4.5% | 0.06x | 13/100 |
| LEO | $9.55 | -1.80% | 22.5 | -0.0118 | EMA12<EMA26 | 66.1 | 0.06 | 1.8% | 0.01x | 16/100 |
| XRP | $1.01 | -1.67% | 33.9 | -0.0006 | EMA12<EMA26 | 84.1 | 0.01 | 3.2% | 0.31x | 17/100 |
| AAVE | $89.13 | -2.65% | 0.0 | +0.0000 | EMA12<EMA26 | 100.0 | 0.45 | 2.0% | 77666286.34x | 36/100 |
| LINK | $8.40 | +2.50% | 64.3 | +0.0170 | EMA12>EMA26 | 43.6 | 0.09 | 2.6% | 0.68x | 78/100 |
Trading Signal Setup — ADA
| Setup type | Momentum / Breakdown |
| Entry zone | $0.1913 – $0.1898 |
| Target 1 | $0.1869 |
| Target 2 | $0.1834 |
| Invalidation | $0.1964 |
| Risk / Reward | 1:1.2 |
| Confidence | High |
Levels are model-derived structure zones from ATR + pivots. Research only — not financial advice.
Key Levels — ADA
| Level | Value (estimate) | Distance from price |
|---|---|---|
| R2 (resistance) | $0.2025 | +6.36% |
| R1 (resistance) | $0.1964 | +3.18% |
| Pivot | $0.1929 | +1.35% |
| S1 (support) | $0.1869 | -1.83% |
| S2 (support) | $0.1834 | -3.67% |
| Fib 0.236 | $0.1917 | +0.70% |
| Fib 0.382 | $0.1931 | +1.43% |
| Fib 0.5 | $0.1942 | +2.02% |
| Fib 0.618 | $0.1954 | +2.61% |